<h1>期货大跌 钢坯市场回调之势难免</h1> <div class="v2_comtent_info01"> <span>2017-7-20 15:34:54</span>来源:<span>中商网撰写</span>作者:<span>李丽霞</span> </div> <div class="v2_comtent_info02"><a title="投稿" class="v2_content_ico01">投稿</a><a title="打印" class="v2_content_ico02">打印</a><a title="收藏" class="v2_content_ico03">收藏</a> <!-- Baidu Button BEGIN --> <div class="bdsharebuttonbox"> <a class="bds_more" data-cmd="more">分享到:</a> <a title="分享到QQ空间" class="bds_qzone" href="#" data-cmd="qzone"></a> <a title="分享到新浪微博" class="bds_tsina" href="#" data-cmd="tsina"></a> <a title="分享到腾讯微博" class="bds_tqq" href="#" data-cmd="tqq"></a> <a title="分享到微信" class="bds_weixin" href="#" data-cmd="weixin"></a> <a title="分享到人人网" class="bds_renren" href="#" data-cmd="renren"></a></div> </div> <script>window._bd_share_config={"common":{"bdSnsKey":{},"bdText":"","bdMini":"2","bdMiniList":false,"bdPic":"","bdStyle":"0","bdSize":"16"},"share":{}};with(document)0[(getElementsByTagName('head')[0]||body).appendChild(createElement('script')).src='http://bdimg.share.baidu.com/static/api/js/share.js?v=89860593.js?cdnversion='+~(-new Date()/36e5)];</script> <!-- Baidu Button END --> <div class="v2_comtent_info03"> <ul> <li><b class="v2_content_ico04">导读:</b></li> <li>本周钢坯市场保持涨势,只是涨幅较上周有所减小,钢坯再创年内新高点3470元/吨。</li> </ul> <ul> <li><b class="v2_content_ico05">关键字:</b></li> <li>钢坯</li> </ul> <div class="clear_hu"></div> </div> <div class="over_x"><p>中商网讯:本周<b>钢坯</b>市场保持涨势,只是涨幅较上周有所减小,钢坯再创年内新高点3470元/吨。但在到达此高位之后,因为支撑不足。所以连续三天平盘休整,最终也未能冲向3500元/吨关口,主要是前期给予强大支撑里的期货市场表现不佳所致。正可谓,涨也期货拉动,跌也期货所累。</p> <p><strong>重点市场综述 </strong><o:p></o:p></p> <p>上周五截止到本周四,钢坯市场涨势继续保持,只是涨幅与上周相比有所减少,本周累计上涨70元/吨,比上涨涨幅降低50元/吨。具体来看,上周五报价坚挺,周末涨40元/吨,周一涨30元/吨,受需求无法跟进以及期货市场调整的影响,自周二开始钢坯报价连续三天维持平稳报价平盘休整。周四钢坯收盘价3470元/吨,比上周四价格涨70元/吨,环比上涨2.05%。</p> <p> <table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="583" x:str="" style="width: 439pt; border-collapse: collapse"> <colgroup><col span="2" width="72" style="width: 54pt" /><col span="2" width="66" style="width: 50pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 2112" /><col width="64" style="width: 48pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 2048" /><col width="65" style="width: 49pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 2080" /><col width="61" style="width: 46pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 1952" /><col width="59" style="width: 44pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 1888" /><col width="58" style="width: 44pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 1856" /></colgroup> <tbody> <tr height="19" style="height: 14.25pt"> <td class="xl28" height="19" width="583" colspan="9" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; background-color: #ffffff; width: 439pt; height: 14.25pt; border-top: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><strong><font size="2" face="宋体">钢坯周价格汇总(7月13日-7月20日) 单位:元/吨</font></strong></td> </tr> <tr height="19" style="height: 14.25pt"> <td class="xl24" height="19" width="144" colspan="2" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; background-color: #ffffff; width: 108pt; height: 14.25pt; border-top: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">钢坯</font></td> <td class="xl24" width="66" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 50pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2"><font face="宋体">唐山</font><font class="font6"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </span></font></font></td> <td class="xl24" width="66" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 50pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">武安</font></td> <td class="xl24" width="64" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 48pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">天津</font></td> <td class="xl24" width="65" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 49pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">山西</font></td> <td class="xl24" width="61" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 46pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">福建</font></td> <td class="xl24" width="59" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 44pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">江苏</font></td> <td class="xl24" width="58" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 44pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">山东</font></td> </tr> <tr height="19" style="height: 14.25pt"> <td class="xl25" height="38" rowspan="2" width="72" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; background-color: #ffffff; width: 54pt; height: 28.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">150*150</font></td> <td class="xl26" width="72" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 54pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">7.13</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="66" x:num="" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 50pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">3400</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="66" x:num="" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 50pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">3350</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="64" x:num="" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 48pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">3440</font></td> <td class="xl27" width="65" x:num="" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 49pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">3360</font></td> <td class="xl27" width="61" x:num="" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 46pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">3550</font></td> <td class="xl27" width="59" x:num="" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 44pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">3380</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="58" x:num="" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 44pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">3430</font></td> </tr> <tr height="19" style="height: 14.25pt"> <td class="xl26" height="19" width="72" x:str="'7.20" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 54pt; height: 14.25pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">7.20</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="66" x:num="" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 50pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">3470</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="66" x:num="" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 50pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">3420</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="64" x:num="" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 48pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">3510</font></td> <td class="xl27" width="65" x:num="" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 49pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">3420</font></td> <td class="xl27" width="61" x:num="" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 46pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">3600</font></td> <td class="xl27" width="59" x:num="" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 44pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">3460</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="58" x:num="" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 44pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">3470</font></td> </tr> <tr height="19" style="height: 14.25pt"> <td class="xl25" height="19" width="144" colspan="2" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; background-color: #ffffff; width: 108pt; height: 14.25pt; border-top: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">涨跌</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="66" x:num="" x:fmla="=C4-C3" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 50pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">70</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="66" x:num="" x:fmla="=D4-D3" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 50pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">70</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="64" x:num="" x:fmla="=E4-E3" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 48pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">70</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="65" x:num="" x:fmla="=F4-F3" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 49pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">60</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="61" x:num="" x:fmla="=G4-G3" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 46pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">50</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="59" x:num="" x:fmla="=H4-H3" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 44pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">80</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="58" x:num="" x:fmla="=I4-I3" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 44pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">40</font></td> </tr> <tr height="19" style="height: 14.25pt"> <td class="xl25" height="19" width="144" colspan="2" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; background-color: #ffffff; width: 108pt; height: 14.25pt; border-top: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">生产地区</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="66" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 50pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">福丰</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="66" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 50pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">武安</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="64" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 48pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">天津</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="65" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 49pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">临汾</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="61" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 46pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">鑫海</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="59" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 44pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">无锡</font></td> <td class="xl25" width="58" style="border-bottom: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: #ffffff; width: 44pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: #ece9d8 0.5pt solid"><font size="2" face="宋体">淄博</font></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </p> <p><strong>成本核算:</strong><o:p></o:p></p> <p>周四迁安地区矿粉价格650-660元/吨,唐山二级冶金焦1700-1760元/吨,粗略核算钢坯生产成本2606元/吨,比上周四成本涨8元/吨。而本周四唐山钢坯报价3470元/吨,高于钢坯生产成本864元/吨。</p> <p><strong>原料走势:</strong><o:p></o:p></p> <p>迁安66%矿粉本周四报价650-660元/吨,与上周四价格涨5元/吨;而进口矿方面青岛港印粉63.5%周四报价480元/吨,比上周四价格涨10元/吨;河北唐山二级冶金焦周四报价1700-1760元/吨,与上周四报价持平。</p> <p><strong>下游走势:</strong><o:p></o:p></p> <p>唐山232带钢周四价格比上周四价格涨60元/吨,1.5寸焊管本周四价格比上周四报价涨60元/吨,唐山型材5#角钢价格周四价格比上周四报价涨80元/吨,唐山Φ<st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" tcsc="0" numbertype="1" negative="False" hasspace="False" sourcevalue="18" unitname="mm">18mm</st1:chmetcnv>螺纹钢周四价格比上周四价格涨10元/吨。<o:p></o:p></p> <p><strong>下周行情前瞻:</strong><o:p></o:p></p> <p>本周钢铁主要生产原料焦炭涨势平息,矿石继续维持小涨态势,钢坯生产成本小幅增长。从成本来看,目前钢坯生产成本和销售价格价差864元/吨,钢坯厂家利润客观,钢坯继续高位拉涨的阻力较大。再加上临近周末期货市场大跌,对于现货市场的支撑力轰然坍塌,现货市场必然进入回调整理阶段。而钢坯连续三天的盘整之后并未继续上涨动力,久盘必跌的魔咒将再度体现。综合以上情况,预计下周钢坯市场回调可能性增大,价格在3250-3470元/吨之间波动的可能性较大。</p> <p> </p> <p>(关键字:钢坯)</p></div> <div class="v2_comtent_info04">(责任编辑:00880)</div>