<h1>伯南克讲话似有暗示 QE3预期镍减跌幅</h1>
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<span>2012-3-27 8:31:43</span>来源：<span></span>作者：<span>良公</span>
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<li><b class="v2_content_ico04">导读：</b></li>
<li>LME期镍内盘在前日18175美美元/吨基础上高开69美元/吨，开在18240美元/吨，高点18255美元/吨，以低点18130元/吨收盘，小跌45美元/吨，跌幅0.25%。</li>
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<li><b class="v2_content_ico05">关键字：</b></li>
<li>期镍 减跌幅</li>
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<div class="over_x"><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="text-align: left; text-indent: 24pt; margin: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; mso-layout-grid-align: none"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">2012.03.</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">26</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">（周一），LME<b>期镍</b>内盘在前日18175美美元/吨基础上高开69美元/吨，开在18240美元/吨，高点18255美元/吨，以低点18130元/吨收盘，小跌45美元/吨，跌幅</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">0.25</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">%。期镍电子盘高开25美元/吨，开在18250美元/吨，亚洲时段盘初小幅冲高，当达到最高点18506美元/吨后走低下滑；欧洲时段盘初继续下行，低位震荡盘整，最低18150美元/吨，尾市收在18233美元/吨，小涨28元/吨，涨幅</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">0.15</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">%。<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="text-align: left; text-indent: 24pt; margin: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; mso-layout-grid-align: none"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="text-align: left; text-indent: 30pt; margin: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; mso-pagination: widow-orphan"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">进入<span lang="EN-US">2012</span>年的第<span lang="EN-US">60</span>个交易日，只有荷兰鹿特丹库流出<span lang="EN-US">48</span>吨；故<span lang="EN-US">LME</span>库存净减<span lang="EN-US">48</span>吨，减为<span lang="EN-US">97692</span>吨，注销量减<span lang="EN-US">804</span>吨，减为<span lang="EN-US">4386</span>吨；故实际库存增<span lang="EN-US">756</span>吨，增为<span lang="EN-US">93306</span>吨。外盘交易量增<span lang="EN-US">1867</span>手，增为<span lang="EN-US">32969</span>手，增幅<span lang="EN-US">6.00%</span>。前日持仓量大增<span lang="EN-US">2632</span>手，增为<span lang="EN-US">101461</span>手，增幅<span lang="EN-US">2.66%</span>。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="text-align: left; text-indent: 30pt; margin: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; mso-pagination: widow-orphan"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="text-align: left; text-indent: 24pt; margin: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; mso-layout-grid-align: none"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">美国三大股指具体情况为: 道指上涨160.90点，收于13,241.63点，涨幅为1.23%；纳指上涨54.65点，收于3,122.57点，涨幅为1.78%；标普500上涨19.40点，收于1,416.51点，涨幅为1.39%。<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="text-align: left; text-indent: 30pt; margin: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; mso-pagination: widow-orphan"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="text-align: left; text-indent: 24pt; margin: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; mso-layout-grid-align: none"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">周一，美国股市大幅收高。美联储主席本-伯南克暗示央行将继续坚持过去三年来帮助股市上涨的货币政策，令分析师看到QE3尚存生机，提振了市场情绪。全美地产经纪商协会的未决房屋销售指数在2月份下降0.5%，至96.5点，不及经济学家此前预期的增长1%；1月份经修正后为增长2%，至97点，创下自2010年4月份以来的最高水平。数据暗示美国楼市失去动能，2月份美国未决房屋销售量意外小幅下降，但仍旧维持在接近于两年高点的水平，表明美国不动产市场可能正趋于稳定。与去年同期相比，2月份未决房屋销售量增长14%。在周一，伯南克向国家商业经济协会(NABE)发表讲话时暗示美联储不会急于退出其超宽松的货币政策，并有可能会采取更多的债券购买措施。伯南克进一步指出，在这种环境下，美联储现行的超低利率的政策有可能会起到帮助作用。就业市场改善依赖于经济增长。在伯南克发表上述言论以后，纽约黄金期货价格有所上涨，美元汇率则有所下跌。收市较早的基本金属内盘只有期镍小跌，其余收涨；期镍收于18130美元/吨，跌幅</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">0.25</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">%；期铜收8</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">533</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">美元/吨，涨幅</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">1.83</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">%；期铝收2186美元/吨，涨幅</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">0.55</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">%；期锌收2021美元/吨，涨幅</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">0.80</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">%；期锡收22500美元/吨，涨幅</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">1.24</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">%；期铅收2002美元/吨，涨幅</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">0.35</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">%。<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="text-align: left; text-indent: 24pt; margin: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; mso-layout-grid-align: none"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 24pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">综合看，原本市场上重新评估了全球三大体经济体的体质之后，就存有一定分歧，一部分观点一直坚持认为美联储并未完全放弃类似</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">QE3的货币政策。实际上，市场分歧呈现加大。尽管伯南克讲话暗示将继续坚持过去三年来的货币政策，支撑了疲弱的基本金属，但更加疲弱的期镍金属仅仅减少了跌幅，还没有积聚上行的动能。</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">（良公）</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p>(关键字：期镍 减跌幅)</p></div>
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