<h1>本周炭素行业上下游市场行情回顾（2016.5.16-20）</h1>
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	<span>2016-5-23 12:00:51</span>来源：<span>中商网撰写</span>作者：<span>杨雪</span>
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			<li><b class="v2_content_ico04">导读：</b></li>
			<li>本周国内石油焦市场行情稳中小涨，主营三大集团旗下炼厂大体报稳，零星炼厂小幅上涨，山东地炼焦市则继续推涨。本周国内煤沥青市场小涨运行，低位货源补进明显，因下游碳素企业较为抵触，市场高位续涨难度增加。</li>
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			<li><b class="v2_content_ico05">关键字：</b></li>
			<li>炭素  石油焦  煤沥青  钢铁  电解铝  黄磷  电石 金属硅  硅铁</li>
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	<div class="over_x"><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; tab-stops: 44.15pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt">上游动态：<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt"><b>石油焦</b>：</span></b><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">本周国内石油焦市场行情稳中小涨，主营三大集团旗下炼厂大体报稳，零星炼厂小幅上涨，山东地炼焦市则继续推涨。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">中石化华北地区燕山石化<st1:chsdate w:st="on" isrocdate="False" islunardate="False" day="20" month="5" year="2016"><span lang="EN-US">5</span>月<span lang="EN-US">20</span>日</st1:chsdate>焦化装置停工检修，石油焦<span lang="EN-US">5</span>月份全部自用；天津石化石油焦出货良好，库存低位；沧州炼化日产量<span lang="EN-US">600</span>吨，库存低位；洛阳石化主产<span lang="EN-US">3#B</span>，货源较少，价格上调<span lang="EN-US">40</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨；石家庄炼厂出货良好，库存低位。沿江地区武汉石化焦化装置预计<st1:chsdate w:st="on" isrocdate="False" islunardate="False" day="23" month="5" year="2016"><span lang="EN-US">5</span>月<span lang="EN-US">23</span>日</st1:chsdate>开工；九江石化石油焦灰分偏高，出货一般；荆门石化主产<span lang="EN-US">3#B</span>石油焦，库存低位；安庆石化计划<span lang="EN-US">6</span>月中旬全厂停工检修。华东地区金陵石化石油焦硫含量在<span lang="EN-US">5.0-6.0%</span>，出货一般；上海高桥石化高硫焦硫含量<span lang="EN-US">5.5%</span>以内，库存中位；上海石化石油焦硫含量在<span lang="EN-US">6.0%</span>左右波动，出货一般；扬子石化石油焦硫含量<span lang="EN-US">5.8%</span>，库存低位。山东地区青岛石化出货良好，价格上调<span lang="EN-US">10</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨；齐鲁石化出货尚可，库存低位；青岛大炼油交投良好，库存低位；济南炼厂出货尚可，库存低位；胜利石化焦化装置预计<span lang="EN-US">6</span>月初出焦。华南地区广州石化出货良好，库存低位；广西北海炼厂出货尚可，库存低位；茂名石化主产<span lang="EN-US">4#A</span>，出货平稳。西北地区塔河石化出货一般，库存中位。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">中石油东北地区低硫焦报价平稳，大港石化报<span lang="EN-US">1400</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，出货良好；锦西石化按计划出货，预计<span lang="EN-US">9</span>月份全厂大修；吉林、辽阳石化中硫焦出货良好，辽河石化中硫焦自用为主，价格平稳。西北地区铝企开工率高位，石油焦市场交投良好，乌鲁木齐石化预计<span lang="EN-US">6</span>月初停工检修，玉门石化预计<span lang="EN-US">6</span>月下旬停工检修，受此影响，兰州石化、克拉玛依、独山子石化出货良好，价格坚挺。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">中海油惠州石化出货平稳；舟山石化石油焦硫含量<span lang="EN-US">1.8%</span>左右，库存低位。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">本周山东地炼焦市行情保持上涨。低硫焦出货良好，垦利石化日产<span lang="EN-US">300</span>吨，海科、海科瑞林低硫焦出货良好，库存低位。中硫焦出货尚可，价格稳中有小涨。高硫焦出货一般，由于部分下游厂家为节省成本，选择高低硫石油焦掺配使用。本周中海沥青、富海联合石化焦化装置正常出焦；正和石化、昌邑石化、友泰科技预计<span lang="EN-US">6</span>月停工检修，万达天弘化学预计<span lang="EN-US">7</span>月份全厂停工检修。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">本周长江现货铝价震荡上扬，铝企开工率处于高位，石油焦资源供应偏紧，预计下周国内焦价还将延续稳中小涨。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt"><b>煤沥青</b>：</span></b><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">本周，国内<span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold">煤沥青</span>市场小涨运行，低位货源补进明显，因下游碳素企业较为抵触，市场高位续涨难度增加。目前中温沥青参考价<span lang="EN-US">1400-1550</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，改质沥青商谈价<span lang="EN-US">1650-2050</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，目前市场存在成本高位及市场开工低位利好支撑，暂无库存压力下，深加工企业仍试涨煤沥青价格来缓解成本压力，预计短线煤沥青市场窄幅试涨运行。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">以下是各区域市场行情动态：<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">东北地区煤沥青市场报盘坚挺，受高成本拉动，市场低位窄幅补涨。目前中温参考价<span lang="EN-US">1550-1600</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，改质执行在<span lang="EN-US">1600-1700</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，下游议价运行，实际高位突破有限。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">山西地区煤沥青市场挺价运行，市场低位补涨运行，但高位继续突破难度加大。目前中温参考价在<span lang="EN-US">1400-1450</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，改质煤沥青执行<span lang="EN-US">1600-1700</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，老客户间合作稳定，整体商投气氛趋稳。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">河北地区煤沥青市场继续探涨运行，原料煤焦油难以止涨，深加工企业无奈继续跟涨煤沥青价格。目前中温参考价在<span lang="EN-US">1500-1600</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，改质煤沥青执行<span lang="EN-US">1900-2000</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，企业减产运行，无库存压力。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">华东地区煤沥青市场跟涨运行，多表现在前期低位货源，因下游市场抵触，高位续涨压力增加。目前中温参考价<span lang="EN-US">1450-1500</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，改质执行在<span lang="EN-US">1900-2050</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，高位成交量少，受减产、检修影响，煤沥青库存压力不大，故短线维持高位报盘。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt">下游行情：<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt"><b>钢铁</b>：</span></b><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">本周结束，但<span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold">钢市</span>下跌势头却不见尽头。周四周五现货市场的下跌行情更进一尺。上海、乐从和天津等我们主要观测的区域主要产品均处于下跌之列。市场信心不足，商家悲观情绪加深，出货兑现的意图强烈，但下游需求不佳，市场成交更为清淡，使市场下行的速度有加快的趋势。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">本周钢市的主要表现与影响因素：<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">主要表现，进入本周以来，期货方面表现较差，螺纹、热卷多以下挫为主，偶有上涨，但均处于短期行为，对现货市场的影响较大。尤其是钢坯市场，本周钢坯报价行情呈现大跌大涨的状况，或下跌<span lang="EN-US">60</span>元，或短期拉涨<span lang="EN-US">50</span>元，至周末再次大幅降<span lang="EN-US">60</span>元，市场报 价重新跌破<span lang="EN-US">2000</span>元，线螺市场首先受累，大部分现货市场报价下跌，至周末上海跌<span lang="EN-US">30</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，北京跌<span lang="EN-US">10</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，乐从下跌<span lang="EN-US">20</span>元左右。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">影响因素，前期<span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold">钢价</span>上涨的利好因素基本消退，如<span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold">钢铁</span>行业大量停产，房地产业大面积回暖使得需求增多，唐山等地区的一些 短期行为，使的钢坯特别紧缺，进而促进线螺价格拉涨，进而带来了其它产品的上涨。然钢价自<st1:chsdate w:st="on" isrocdate="False" islunardate="False" day="22" month="4" year="2016"><span lang="EN-US">4</span>月<span lang="EN-US">22</span>日</st1:chsdate>创出阶段性高位后，价格持 续走低，<span lang="EN-US">5</span>月以来更是连续大幅下跌，三周累跌近<span lang="EN-US">500-600</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨。价格走跌的背后，一方面钢坯及期货市场的回调助推，另一方面还 在于供需关系没有得到根本的改善。截至本周四，相关资料显示，螺纹钢价格指数<span lang="EN-US">2461</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，累计下跌<span lang="EN-US">19.7%</span>；热卷价格指数<span lang="EN-US">2708</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，累计下跌<span lang="EN-US">16.3%</span>；进口矿价格指数<span lang="EN-US">423</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，累计下跌<span lang="EN-US">18.9%</span>；废钢价格指数<span lang="EN-US">1445</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，累计下跌<span lang="EN-US">5.1%</span>；焦炭价格指数<span lang="EN-US">970</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，累计上涨<span lang="EN-US">26.7%</span>。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt"><b>电解铝</b>：</span></b><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">本周，上海现货铝主流报价在<span lang="EN-US">12420-12550</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，随着沪铝整体走势平稳，且强于周边金属，持货商心态平稳，惜售心态明显，且<span lang="EN-US">LME</span>价格结构令持货有利，贸易商也并不急于出货，报价较高，但买家无法接受高价，市场处于有价无市的状态。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">本周，上海现货铝主流报价在<span lang="EN-US">12420-12550</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，随着沪铝整体走势平稳，且强于周边金属，持货商心态平稳，惜售心态明显，且<span lang="EN-US">LME</span>价格结构令持货有利，贸易商也并不急于出货，报价较高，但买家无法接受高价，市场处于有价无市的状态。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">月铝产量：中国<span lang="EN-US">4</span>月原铝产量为<span lang="EN-US">257</span>万吨，同比下滑<span lang="EN-US">1.2%</span>，环比亦下滑<span lang="EN-US">1.9%</span>，为过去五个月里第四个月下滑，<span lang="EN-US">1-4</span>月原铝累计产量为<span lang="EN-US">994</span>万吨，同比下滑<span lang="EN-US">1.7%</span>，同期长江铝现货均价累计上涨<span lang="EN-US">15.2%</span>，意味着铝价上涨之际，铝企未出现集中复产现象。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">世界金属统计局<span lang="EN-US">(WBMS)</span>周三公布的报告显示，今年<span lang="EN-US">1-3</span>月全球原铝市场小幅供应过剩<span lang="EN-US">4.8</span>万吨，<span lang="EN-US">2015</span>年全年为供应短缺<span lang="EN-US">30.8</span>万吨。<span lang="EN-US"> 1-3</span>月期间原铝需求为<span lang="EN-US">1,328</span>万吨，较上年同期的<span lang="EN-US">1,394.4</span>万吨减少<span lang="EN-US">66.4</span>万吨。<span lang="EN-US"> 3</span>月原铝库存增加<span lang="EN-US">1.7</span>万吨，截至<span lang="EN-US">3</span>月底总库存为<span lang="EN-US">365.3</span>万吨，相当于<span lang="EN-US">23</span>天需求量，截至<span lang="EN-US">2015</span>年底为<span lang="EN-US">378.7</span>万吨。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt"><b>金属硅</b>：</span></b><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">本周<span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold">金属硅</span>持续阴跌，冶金级表现尤为突出，高低品味均呈现不同程度下跌。未至丰水期，市场主流成交价就已跌近成本线，部分电价高企的工厂表示成本倒挂，将计划在川滇工厂复产后减产或停产。而四川、云南等地金属硅工厂同时表示市场价格低廉，准确复产时间未定。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">开工方面：福建地区<span lang="EN-US">59</span>台金属硅矿热炉正常开启<span lang="EN-US">26</span>台，整体开工率约为<span lang="EN-US">44.1%</span>，环比上月上涨<span lang="EN-US">1.73%</span>左右，预计月度可生产金属硅<span lang="EN-US">17040</span>吨，环比上月增产<span lang="EN-US">1040</span>吨左右。内蒙地区金属硅矿热炉<span lang="EN-US">40</span>台正常开启<span lang="EN-US">20</span>台，开工率约<span lang="EN-US">50%</span>，环比下降<span lang="EN-US">5%</span>，预计月度产量<span lang="EN-US">10040</span>吨，环比减产<span lang="EN-US">970</span>吨。新疆地区<span lang="EN-US">127</span>台矿热炉正常开启<span lang="EN-US">97</span>台，开工率<span lang="EN-US">76.4%</span>，环比上涨<span lang="EN-US">8.7%</span>，预计月产量约<span lang="EN-US">82150</span>吨，环比增产<span lang="EN-US">13010</span>吨。新疆地区合盛硅业增产较多，其他工厂也无减产迹象，使得开工水平上升不少，而南方金属硅工厂近期开工意愿不强，后期还看市场价格决定。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt">后市分析，</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">月底，四川和云南逐步调整丰水期电价，而市场成交价格低廉，工厂复产仍困难重重。预计下周德昌和德宏州等地工厂仍以观望市场为主，而价格受打压现象愈加明显。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 120%; text-indent: 24pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white; word-break: break-all"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><span style="line-height: 120%; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt"><b>黄磷</b>：</span></b><span style="line-height: 120%; font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">本周（<span lang="EN-US">2016.5.16&mdash;2016.5.20</span>）<span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold">黄磷</span>市场<span style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold">平稳运行</span>，价格方面暂无调整。企业仍在观望市场，调整开工。黄磷市场观望整理，市场供需基本保持平衡，价格上行压力较大，行情走势平稳。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">黄磷市场国内主产区一周黄磷行情：<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">云南：云南地区黄磷市场货源偏紧。当前价格参考：场内主流现汇成交价<span lang="EN-US">12300-12400 </span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，主流承兑出货价<span lang="EN-US">12500-12600 </span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨。整体市场货源紧张，场内开工仍显低位，停产企业大多表示，近期黄磷装置有复产计划，开工缓慢上行；下游需求市场平稳，价格上行空乏无力，黄磷实际成交价格维持平稳，主要以走量为主，市场整体交投情况良好<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">贵州：贵州地区黄磷市场持稳运行。当前场内主流净磷出厂承兑价<span lang="EN-US">12500-12700 </span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，主流成交价格维持在<span lang="EN-US">12400-12500 </span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨。贵州地区黄磷生产厂家开工稳定，供应量稳定，下游终端市场需求尚可，贵州黄磷受货源偏紧影响，出货情况良好。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">湖北：黄磷市场交投清淡，当前主流成交承兑价至<span lang="EN-US">13800 </span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨左右，市场仍旧开工低位，市场交投淡稳。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">四川：四川地区黄磷市场有所走淡。当前主流价格：石棉地区出厂现汇价<span lang="EN-US">12500 </span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨；马边地区出厂现汇价<span lang="EN-US">12500 </span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨左右；绵竹地区现汇价<span lang="EN-US">12900 </span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，什邡主流到站价<span lang="EN-US">12700-13000 </span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨；攀枝花地区价格<span lang="EN-US">12100-12300</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，会东地区<span lang="EN-US">12000 </span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨。目前部分厂家装置已恢复正常生产，部分厂家近期有开工计划，在做产前准备工作<span lang="EN-US">;</span>货源的增多，加大了厂家出货压力。下游开工需求量有所走弱，需求疲软，出货清淡，黄磷实际成交略显僵持。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">后市分析：黄磷企业开工基本稳定，场内货源仍显紧张，黄磷市场价格维持稳定。需求市场方面，草甘膦、磷酸、磷酸盐终端需求市场行情偏淡，采购不旺，市场难言利好，但刚性需求存在，短期内对黄磷市场提振有限。电价政策调整对黄磷市场有所支撑，但效果甚微，短期内维持价格稳定。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt"><b>硅铁</b>：</span></b><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold">硅铁</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">市场总体变化并不大，多数厂家报价仍旧是维持上周价格，市场走货量没有明显增加。此次内蒙西金调价，对现货市场的影响并没有想象中的那么大，宁夏、陕西等地厂家价格仍旧是按照自己厂子的实际情况而定。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">近日，内蒙鄂尔多斯西金报价<span lang="EN-US">72#4050-4100</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，<span lang="EN-US">75#</span>报价<span lang="EN-US">4400</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨（承兑含税，加工块），暂时维持不变，青海地区虽然上周随着西金提价，但据了解，成交情况并不理想，价格并没有实际上涨，厂家报价也有所回调，<span lang="EN-US">72#4000</span>，<span lang="EN-US">,75#4300</span>，实际成交价格更低；陕西地区近期表现的较为冷静，<span lang="EN-US">72#</span>主流成交价<span lang="EN-US">3500</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨，（现金不含税）；<span lang="EN-US">75#</span>主流成交价<span lang="EN-US">4250</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨；宁夏地区厂家近期检修，且是以走订单为主，现货少，贸易商手里有些现货，目前报价<span lang="EN-US">72#4050,75#4250</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt"><b>电石</b>：</span></b><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">电石市场价格较为混乱，个别地区价格略有调整，但整体行情变动不大。随着西北部分氯碱企业停车检修，配套电石外销，消费地市场逐步趋于平稳，考虑到电石法<span lang="EN-US">PVC</span>行情一路走低，氯碱企业接收电石，其压价行为依然存在。但鉴于电石价格已经处于低位，电石企业挺价意识较强。供需双方的博弈仍将持续一段时间。区域价格方面，东北地区电石到货价格为<span lang="EN-US">2450-2500</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨；西北地区电石到货价格为<span lang="EN-US">2200-2280</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨；华北地区电石到货价格为<span lang="EN-US">2370-2600</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨；华中地区电石到货价格为<span lang="EN-US">2450-2600</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨；西南地区电石到货价格为<span lang="EN-US">2500-2600</span>元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>吨。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; text-indent: 18pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; background: white"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: black; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">由于后续仍有部分氯碱企业计划检修，供需紧张的局面将有所缓解，电石行情再度提涨的难度较大，不排除回落的可能。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>(关键字：炭素  石油焦  煤沥青  钢铁  电解铝  黄磷  电石 金属硅  硅铁)</p></div>
	<div class="v2_comtent_info04">（责任编辑：00491）</div>