<h2 class="newsinfo_title">亚洲燃料油市场总体表现疲软</h2>
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<li>2012-10-30 9:17:22</li>
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<td width="60"><b>导读：</b></td>
<td>亚洲燃料油裂解价差疲软，近月11月燃料油对迪拜价差拉宽至一周多以来的最低位，因需求前景黯淡。</td>
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<td width="60"><b>关键字：</b></td>
<td>燃料油 燃料油价格 原油</td>
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<div class="over_x"><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">周一亚洲<strong>燃料油</strong>跨月价差较上周小幅反弹，即期180cst 10月/11月跨月价差持平，11月/12月跨月价差为+25美分/吨。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">亚洲燃料油裂解价差疲软，近月11月燃料油对迪拜价差拉宽至一周多以来的最低位，因需求前景黯淡。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">尽管新加坡燃料油市场总体表现疲软，但仍有来自欧洲的燃料油套利船货被预定销往亚洲。贸易商们表示，由于供应充裕及需求状况不容乐观，新加坡燃料油现货升水已经承压。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">但欧洲燃料油市场同样疲弱且欧元兑美元走软，使得欧洲至亚洲燃料油套利船货交易窗口继续开放。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">10月份流入亚洲的燃料油套利船货数量超过450万吨，已经导致新加坡燃料油库存升至2200万桶上方水平。而且燃料油库存可能因套利到货量高企而进一步攀升。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">但是下月来自西方的燃料油套利船货供应量减少可能将阻止亚洲燃料油市场基本面恶化，不过，供应过剩问题将继续打压燃料油跨月价差。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">到目前为止，12月来自西方的燃料油套利船货订购量依然偏低，约为270-290万吨，因新加坡燃料油市场供应过剩抑制了套利船货交易。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">据称Gunvor公司已经租用特大油轮C Whale，将于11月13-15日在鹿特丹装运燃料油船货并运往亚洲地区，运费为340万美元。Petroineos公司也已经租用油轮Front Chief，将于11月7日在鹿特丹装运燃料油船货并运往亚洲地区，运费为375万美元。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">由于船运行业依然表现低迷，市场焦点将集中在中国和日本，这将是吸纳过剩供应的关键因素。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">贸易商表示如果燃料油现货价格进一步下跌，中国地炼可能在冬季时增加采购量，而12月份日本的需求可能再次回升。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">夏末的炎热天气和较低的升水价促使日本终端用户10月份囤积库存，这已经帮助吸纳了一些市场上多余的库存。 </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">本月有10多船中型船货运往日本，但是预期11月份需求将放缓，预期大约七船或八船货物交付。11月低硫燃料油的需求减少，因此部分船货将转入到12月份，这将影响12月初的市场行情。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">俄罗斯Rosneft直馏燃料油升水价的强劲反映中国强劲需求将推高今年冬季价格的预期。维多以每吨大约71美元升水购买俄罗斯Rosneft销售的150万吨11月-4月交付的M100燃料油的大部分货物，而Toyota Tsusho公司以每吨大约61美元升水购买120万吨5-10月交付的船货。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">尽管升水价上涨，但是贸易商表示这样的价位依然是市场价，因为当前M100船货CFR中国的报价为大约每吨85美元。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">去年冬天中国购买量的大增帮助引发燃料油市场的飙升，并拉动燃料油跨月价差和升水价升至今年年初的记录高位。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">（关键词：燃料油 燃料油价格 原油）</span></p>
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