Research Background

Since the year of 2007, international agencies predicted strained supply of agricultural products based on the global macroeconomics situation, leading to the global surge in the prices of agricultural products, especially the international price of wheat. While in China, the wheat production has reaped good harvest in a row from 2004 to 2008 so that the wheat price has been increased since Nov. in 2006. Nevertheless, the consumption of wheat is mainly on flour process and the demand is inflexible. Thus, to reduce the influence by domestic inflation, the wheat price kept a low increase owing to the regulation and control of national policies and affection by the supply-demand factors.

The flour industry is one form of the wheat consumption and its development is affected seriously by the raw material market of wheat. Whether the domestic wheat price will go rising owing to the huge gap between global and national wheat price? Whether the substantial increase in planting cost will arouse the fluctuations in wheat price? Whether the wheat output will meet the consumption in the future and where the wheat processing industry heading for and what kind of challenges and opportunities will be faced by the processing industry in the year of 2009 to 2015?

We are an information institution focusing on professional market research and information service. It provides research reports that specialize in monitoring market of important agricultural commodities, analytical predication and related consulting service. We serve in administrations and ministries, such as National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Commerce and State Grain Administration as well as in enterprises at home and abroad, which engaged in agricultural production, processing and trading, also some other futures companies. With the research team of high quality analysts and specialized paraprofessional, we gained higher brand recognition among the industries home and broad since its establishment for fifteen years.

We organized working groups of industrial experts to conduct a series of exhaustive investigations among the flour enterprises and wheat raw material market; to establish a mid-long range forecast of the wheat and flour industry, so that we can supply high-quality report to the relevant enterprises and investment research institutions.

Report Outline

Chapter I Survey on Wheat and Flour Industry in China
1.1 Survey on wheat in China
1.2 Proportion of wheat production to grain production in China
1.3 Survey on wheat flour processing industry in China

Chapter II Analysis of Wheat Planting and production in China
2.1 Changes of wheat planting and output over the past years in China
2.1.1 CHANGES OF WHEAT ACREAGE OVER THE PAST YEARS IN CHINA
2.1.2 CHANGES OF WHEAT OUTPUT OVER THE PAST YEARS IN CHINA
2.1.3 CHANGES OF WHEAT YIELD OVER THE PAST YEARS IN CHINA
2.2 Distribution of Main Wheat Producing Regions in China
2.2.1 ANALYSIS OF MAIN WHEAT PRODUCING PROVINCES IN CHINA
2.2.1.1 Analysis of wheat production in Shandong Province in 2001-2008
2.2.1.2 Analysis of wheat production in Henan Province in 2001-2008
2.2.1.3 Analysis of wheat production in Hebei Province in 2001-2008
2.2.2 ANALYSIS OF PRODUCING REGION OF SPRING WHEAT AND WINTER WHEAT IN CHINA
2.2.2.1 Analysis of planting distribution and quality of spring wheat
2.2.2.2 Analysis of planting distribution and quality of winter wheat
2.2.3 DISTRIBUTION OF WHEAT PRODUCING REGIONS IN CHINA
2.2.3.1 Analysis of spring wheat region in North of China in 2001-2008
2.2.3.2 Analysis of winter wheat region in south of China in 2001-2008
2.2.3.3 Analysis of winter wheat region in North of China in 2001-2008
2.3 Planting Analysis of High Quality Wheat in China
2.3.1 DISTRIBUTIONAL CHARACTERISTIC OF HIGH QUALITY WHEAT IN CHINA
2.3.2 INTRODUCTION OF HIGH QUALITY WHEAT VARIETIES IN CHINA
2.3.3 STATISTICAL ACREAGE OF HIGH QUALITY WHEAT
2.3.3.1 Acreage of 'Yu-mai 34' in the Main Producing Region
2.3.3.2 Acreage of 'Ji-nan 17' in the Main Producing Region
2.3.3.3 Acreage of 'Yan-nong 19' in the Main Producing Region
2.4¡¢Introduction of Wheat Quality in Main producing Regions
2.4.1 HIGH-STRENGTH GLUTEN WHEAT PRODUCING REGION IN THE NORTHERN NORTH OF CHINA
2.4.2 HIGH- AND MID-STRENGTH GLUTEN WHEAT PRODUCING REGION IN THE NORTHERN HUANG-HUAI RIVERS
2.4.3 MID-STRENGTH GLUTEN WHEAT PRODUCING REGION IN THE SOUTHERN HUANG-HUAI RIVERS
2.4.4 MID- AND WEAK-STRENGTH GLUTEN WHEAT PRODUCING REGION OVER THE MIDDLE AND LOWER REACHES OF THE YANGTZE RIVER
2.4.5 WHEAT PRODUCING REGION OF SICHUAN BASIN AND YUNNAN-GUIZHOU PLATEAU
2.5 Varieties Analysis of Winter Wheat in Shandong Province
2.5.1 VARIETIES OF HIGH-STRENGTH WHEAT GLUTEN
2.5.1.1 J i-mai20
2.5.1.2 Yan-nong19,
2.5.1.3 Ji-nan 17
2.5.1.4 Zi-mai 12
2.5.1.5 Shan-nong 12
2.5.2 VARIETIES OF MID-STRENGTH WHEAT GLUTEN
2.5.2.1 Ji-mai 19
2.5.2.2 Wei-mai 8
2.5.2.3 Ji-mai 21
2.5.2.4 Yan-nong 24
2.6 Forecast of Wheat Acreage and Output in 2009 to 2015 in China
2.6.1 ANALYSIS OF WHEAT PLANTING BENEFIT IN CHINA
2.6.2 ANALYSIS OF WHEAT PLANTING COST IN CHINA
2.6.3 IMPACT OF STATE POLICIES ON WHEAT ACREAGE
2.6.4 FORECAST OF WHEAT ACREAGE AND OUTPUT IN 2009 TO 2015

Chapter III Analytical Prediction of Wheat Consumption in China
3.1 Analysis of wheat consumptions modes in China
3.1.1 CHANGES OF TOTAL WHEAT CONSUMPTION IN CHINA (1991/92-2008/09)
3.1.2 CHANGES OF CONSUMPTION FOR FLOUR PROCESSING IN CHINA (1991/92-2008/09)
3.1.3 CHANGES OF CONSUMPTION FOR FEED IN CHINA (1991/92-2008/09)
3.1.4 CHANGES OF CONSUMPTION FOR INDUSTRY IN CHINA (1990/91-2007/08)
3.1.5 CHANGES OF CONSUMPTION FOR SEED IN CHINA (1990/91-2007/08)
3.2 Analysis of Wheat Consumption for Food in China
3.2.1 CHARACTERISTICS AND STATUS OF WHEAT CONSUMPTION FOR FOOD IN CHINA
3.2.2 ANALYSIS OF WHEAT CONSUMPTION OF HOUSEHOLD IN CHINA
3.2.3 ANALYSIS OF WHEAT CONSUMPTION OF DINEROUT IN CHINA
3.2.4 TENDENCY OF WHEAT CONSUMPTION FOR FOOD IN THE FUTURE
3.2.4.1 Impact of population changes in China
3.2.4.2 Impact of changes in food structure
3.2.4.3 Trend forecast of wheat consumption for food in the future
3.3 Trend Forecast of Wheat Consumption in the Future

Chapter IV Analytical Prediction of Flour Industry in China
4.1 Current Status of Flour Industry in China
4.1.1 SURVEY ON FLOUR INDUSTRY IN CHINA
4.1.2 PRIMARY ECONOMICAL POLICIES ON FLOUR INDUSTRY IN CHINA
4.2 Analysis of Flour Processing Industry in China
4.2.1 ANALYSIS OF PROCESSING CAPABILITY AND NUMBER OF ENTERPRISES OF FLOUR INDUSTRY IN CHINA
4.2.2 CONCENTRATION ANALYSIS OF FLOUR INDUSTRIES IN CHINA
4.2.3 ANALYSIS OF PRODUCTION AND PRODUCTS STRUCTURE OF FLOUR ENTERPRISES IN CHINA
4.2.4 PROFITS ANALYSIS OF LARGE-SCALE FLOUR ENTERPRISES
4.3 Analysis of Flour Import and Export Trade in China
4.3.1 CURRENT STATUS OF FLOUR IMPORT AND EXPORT TRADE IN CHINA
4.3.2 ANALYSIS OF FLOUR IMPORTS BY COUNTRIES IN CHINA
4.3.3 ANALYSIS OF FLOUR EXPORT BY COUNTRIES IN CHINA
4.4 Analysis of Import and Export of Flour Enterprises in China
4.4.1 CURRENT STATUS OF IMPORT AND EXPORT OF FLOUR ENTERPRISES IN CHINA
4.4.1.1 Current status of import flour enterprises in China
4.4.1.2 Current status of export flour enterprises in China
4.4.2 ANALYSIS OF PRIMARY FLOUR IMPORT ENTERPRISES IN CHINA
4.4.2.1 Monthly analysis of flour import of Chengfa Food (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd
4.4.2.2 Monthly analysis of flour import of Qingdao Kalebi Food Co., Ltd
4.4.2.3 Monthly analysis of flour import of Weihai JK Food Co., Ltd
4.4.2.4 Monthly analysis of flour import of Lechu Food (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd
4.4.3 ANALYSIS OF PRIMARY FLOUR EXPORT ENTERPRISES IN CHINA
4.4.3.1 Monthly analysis of flour export of Shekou Lamsoon Flour Mills Co., Ltd
4.4.3.2 Monthly analysis of flour export of Jinan Deruixing CO., Ltd
4.4.3.3 Monthly analysis of flour export of Guangzhou Fujiade Flour Co., Ltd
4.4.3.4 Monthly analysis of flour export of King Tang Import & Export Corporation
4.5 Domestic Flour Enterprises in Large Scale
4.5.1 HEBEI WUDELI FLOUR GROUP CO., LTD
4.5.2¡¢CHINA NATIONAL CEREALS, OILS AND FOODSTUFFS CORP (COFCO) FLOUR DEPARTMENT
4.5.3¡¢BEIJING GUCHUAN FOOD CO., LTD
4.6 Flour Enterprises of Foreign-funded in Large Scale
4.6.1 LAMSOON GROUP FLOUR DEPARTMENT
4.6.2 TAIWAN DACHAN GROUP FLOUR DEPARTMENT
4.6.3 FENGYI GROUP FLOUR DEPARTMENT

Chapter V Analysis of Wheat Market and Trade Circulation
5.1 Analysis of Domestic Wheat Market
5.1.1 TENDENCY OF DOMESTIC WHEAT MARKET
5.1.2 COMPARISON OF PRICE BETWEEN HIGH QUALITY AND COMMON VARIETIES IN CHINA
5.1.3 TENDENCY OF WHEAT PRICE IN DIFFERENT REGIONS OF CHINA
5.1.3.1 Price of wheat main producing region
5.1.3.2 Price of wheat main sales region
5.1.4 FORECAST OF DOMESTIC WHEAT PRICE IN THE FUTURE
5.2 Analysis of Wheat Circulation Status in China
5.2.1 WHEAT CIRCULATION STATUS IN CHINA
5.2.2 IMPACT ANALYSIS OF NATIONAL GRAIN TRADE ENTERPRISES ON WHEAT CIRCULATION
5.2.3 ANALYSIS OF THE WHEAT PURCHASE AND SALES IN THE LOWEST ACQUISITION PRICE
5.2.3.1 The lowest acquisition price of wheat in China
5.2.3.2 Analysis of purchasing and sales of wheat in China in 2006
5.2.3.3 Analysis of purchasing and sales of wheat in China in 2007
5.2.3.4 Analysis of wheat acquisition in China in 2008
5.2.4 PREDICTION OF WHEAT CIRCULATION MODES IN THE FUTURE
5.3 Analysis of Wheat Import and Export Trade in China
5.3.1 WHEAT IMPORT AND EXPORT TRADE OVER THE PAST YEARS IN CHINA
5.3.2 ANALYSIS OF WHEAT EXPORT IN CHINA
5.3.2.1 Analysis of wheat export by countries in China
5.3.2.2 Analysis of wheat export by ports in China
5.3.3 ANALYSIS OF WHEAT IMPORT IN CHINA
5.3.3.1 Analysis of wheat import by countries in China
5.3.3.2 Analysis of wheat import by ports in China
5.3.3.3 Analysis of wheat import by provinces in China
5.4 Analysis of Wheat Import Enterprises in China
5.4.1 ANALYSIS OF MONTHLY FLOUR EXPORT OF SHEKOU LAMSOON FLOUR MILLS CO., LTD
5.4.2 ANALYSIS OF MONTHLY FLOUR EXPORT OF SANSHUI FENGSHUN FOOD CO., LTD

Chapter VI Forecast of Yearly Wheat Supply and Demand Balance in 2008/09-2015/16 in China
6.1 Forecast of Yearly Wheat Output in 2008/09-2015/16 in China
6.2 Forecast of Yearly Wheat Consumption in 2008/09-2015/16 in China
6.2.1 FORECAST OF YEARLY WHEAT CONSUMPTION FOR FLOUR PROCESSING IN 2008/09-2015/16 IN CHINA
6.2.2 FORECAST OF YEARLY WHEAT CONSUMPTION FOR FEED IN 2008/09-2015/16 IN CHINA
6.2.3 FORECAST OF YEARLY WHEAT CONSUMPTION FOR INDUSTRY IN 2008/09-2015/16 IN CHINA
6.2.4 FORECAST OF YEARLY WHEAT CONSUMPTION FOR SEED IN 2008/09-2015/16 IN CHINA
6.2.5 FORECAST OF YEARLY WHEAT CONSUMPTION IN 2008/09-2015/16 IN CHINA
6.3 Yearly Wheat Supply and Demand Balance in 2008/09-2015/16

Appendix

Figures

Figure 1 Changes of the output of wheat, corn and rice in China (1949-2008)
Figure 2 The proportion of the output of wheat, core and rice in China (since 1991)
Figure 3 Distribution of yearly flour output in 2008/09 in China
Figure 4 Yearly changes of wheat acreage in China (1949-2008)
Figure 5 Yearly changes of wheat output in China (1949-2008)
Figure 6 Yearly changes of wheat yield
Figure 7 The main wheat producing provinces in 2008
Figure 8 Wheat output of Shandong province contrasts to that of the whole country (1978-2008)
Figure 9 Wheat output of Henan province contrasts to that of the whole country (1978-2008)
Figure10 Wheat output of HeBei province contrasts to that of the whole country (1978-2008)
Figure 11 Distribution of spring wheat acreage of the main producing provinces in China (2008)
Figure 12 Distribution of winter wheat acreage of the main producing provinces in China (2008)
Figure 13 Distribution of the main wheat planting regions (2008)
Figure 14 Acreage changes of the spring wheat in the north of China (2001-2008)
Figure 15 Acreage changes of the winter wheat in the south of China (2001-2008)
Figure 16 Acreage changes of the winter wheat in the north of China (2001-2008)
Figure 17 Acreage of 'Yu-mai 34' in the Main Producing Region (2004-2007)
Figure 18 Acreage of 'Ji-nan 17' in the Main Producing Region (2004-2007)
Figure 19 Acreage of 'Yan-nong 19' in the Main Producing Region (2004-2007)
Figure 20 Analysis of wheat planting cost and profit in China (2004-2007)
Figure 21 Forecast of wheat acreage and output in 2009-2015
Figure 22 Yearly changes of total wheat consumption in China (1991/92-2008/09)
Figure 23 Yearly changes of consumption for flour processing in China (1991/92-2008/09)
Figure 24 Yearly changes of consumption for feed in China (1991/92-2008/09)
Figure 25 Yearly changed of consumption for industry in China (1991/92-2008/09)
Figure 26 Yearly changed of consumption for feed in China (1991/92-2008/09)
Figure 27 Proportion of each kind of wheat consumption for food in China
Figure 28 Changes of the total consumption and proportion of wheat consumption for food in China (1990-2007)
Figure 29 Wheat consumption of dinerout of Chinese residents (1990-2007)
Figure 30 Number of the flour processing enterprises on large scales (2002-2007)
Figure 31 Production capability changes of flour industries in China (2002-2007)
Figure 32 Concentration of flour industries in China (2002-2007)
Figure 33 Changes of flour output in Shandong, Henan, Hebei and other provinces of China (2006/07-2008/09)
Figure 34 The gross and net profits of flour processing industries in China (2003-2007)
Figure 35 Yearly changes of flour imports and export trade in China (2004-2008.9)
Figure 36 Changes of the flour exports and the FOB price (2004.1-2008.9)
Figure 37 Changes of the flour imports and the CIF price (2004.1-2008.9)
Figure 38 Changes of flour imports by countries in China (2004.1-2008.9)
Figure 39 Distribution of flour imports by countries (2007.1-2008.9)
Figure 40 Changes of flour exports by countries in China (2004.1-2008.9)
Figure 41 Distribution of flour exports by countries (2007.1-2008.9)
Figure 42 Distribution of the primary import flour enterprises in Sep. 2008 in China
Figure 43 Top ten import flour enterprises in Sep. 2008 in China
Figure 44 Distribution of the primary export flour enterprises in Sep. 2008 in China
Figure 45 Top ten export flour enterprises in Sep. 2008 in China
Figure 48 Monthly imports changes of Weihai JK Food Co., Ltd £¨2007.01-2008.09£©
Figure 49 Monthly imports changes of Lechu Food (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd £¨2007.01-2008.09£©
Figure 50 Monthly exports changes of Shekou Lamsoon Flour Mills Co., Ltd £¨2007.01-2008.09£©
Figure 51 Monthly exports changes of Jinan Deruixing Co., Ltd £¨2007.01-2008.09£©
Figure 52 Monthly exports changes of Guangzhou Fujiade Flour Co., Ltd £¨2007.01-2008.09£©
Figure 53 Monthly exports changes of King Tang Import&export Corporation£¨2007.01-2008.09£©
Figure 54 Income changes of Hebei Wudeli Flour Group Co., Ltd (2004-2007)
Figure 55 Output and profit of the Lamsoon Group Food Department
Figure 56 Output and profit of the Taiwan Dachan Group Flour Department
Figure 57 Output and profit of Fengyi Group Flour Department
Figure 58 Tendency of the average price of wheat and flour in China (2006-2008.11)
Figure 59 Price tendencies of common wheat and high quality wheat in Shijiazhuang, Hebei (2006-2008.11)
Figure 60 Price tendencies of common wheat and quality wheat (ji-nan 17) in Jinan, Shandong (2006-2008.11)
Figure 61 Tendency of wheat price in main producing regions in China (2006-2008.11)
Figure 62 Tendency of wheat price in main producing regions in China (2006-2008.11)
Figure 63 Proportion of saled wheat to whole output in China (2002-2007)
Figures 64 Proportion of purchasing wheat of national grain trade enterprises to total trade grain (2002-2007)
Figure 65 The lowest acquisition price of wheat in China and the related provinces (2006-2009)
Figure 66 Statistic of wheat purchasing and sales t in 2006
Figure 67 Comparison of the wheat sales in the main provinces in 2006
Figure 68 Statistic of wheat purchasing and sales t in 2007
Figure 69 Purchasing of wheat in the main provinces by china Grain Reserves Corporation in 2007
Figure 70 purchasing of wheat in the main provinces by china Grain Reserves Corporation in 2008
Figure 71 Yearly statistics of wheat imports and export s (2000-2008.9)
Figure 72 Monthly changes of exports and the FOB price of wheat in China (2004.1-2008.9)
Figure 73 Monthly changes of imports and the CIF price of wheat in China (2004.1-2008.9)
Figure 74 Monthly changes of wheat exports by countries in china (2006.1-2998.9)
Figure 75 Primer countries of wheat export in China (2006.1-2008.9)
Figure 76 Monthly changes of wheat exports by ports in china (2006.1-2998.9)
Figure 77 Primer ports of wheat export in China (2006.1-2008.9)
Figure 78 Monthly changes of wheat imports by countries in china (2006.1-2998.9)
Figure 79 Primer countries of wheat import in China (2006.1-2008.9)
Figure 80 Monthly changes of wheat imports by ports in china (2006.1-2998.9)
Figure 81 Primer ports of wheat import in China (2006.1-2008.9)
Figure 82 Monthly changes of wheat imports by provinces in china (2006.1-2998.9)
Figure 83 Primer provinces of wheat import in China (2006.1-2008.9)
Figure 84 Monthly changes of wheat imports of Shekou Lamsoon Flour Mill Co., ltd (2007.1-2008.9)
Figure 85 Monthly changes of wheat imports of Sanshui Fengshun Food Co., ltd (2007.1-2008.9)
Figure 86 Predication of the total wheat output of China (1990/91-2015/16)
Figure 87 Prediction of wheat consumption for flour processing in China (1990/91-2015/16)
Figure 88 Prediction of wheat consumption for feed in China (1990/91-2015/16)
Figure 89 Prediction of wheat consumption for industry in China (1990/91-2015/16)
Figure 90 Prediction of wheat consumption for seed in China (1990/91-2015/16)
Figure 91 Prediction of yearly wheat consumption in China (1990/91-2015/16)
Figure 92 Prediction of wheat supply and demand balance in China (1990/91-2015/16)

Tables

Table 1 The output of wheat by provinces in China (2001-2008)
Table 2 The output of flour by provinces in China (2006/07-2008/09)
Table 3 Yearly supply and demand balance of wheat in China in 2008/2009
Table 4 The lowest acquisition of wheat in the main producing regions in China (2006-2008)
Table 5 Monthly exports by countries of flour in China (2006.1-2008.9)
Table 6 Monthly imports by countries of flour in China (2006.1-2008.9)
Table 7 Monthly exports by countries of wheat in China (2006.1-2008.9)
Table 8 Monthly exports by ports of wheat in China (2006.1-2008.9)
Table 9 Monthly imports by countries of wheat in China (2006.1-2008.9)
Table 10 Monthly imports by ports of wheat in China (2006.1-2008.9)
Table 11 Monthly imports by provinces of wheat in China (2006.1-2008.9)
Table 12 Exports and the related enterprises of flour in China (2008.9)
Table 13 Imports and the related enterprises of flour in China (2008.9)








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